The Build Up Mode

[iWin]

Hi Lotto Architect!


Are the Build Up mode predictions meant to be used for the upcoming draw only?

In that case should the user run a new scan for every new draw with a run factor of 0 ?

If the Build Up mode finds G.A.T.'s that have been successful recently in predicting a certain number of hits, for example the past 5 games, then does it make sense to scan only 10 total draws? Because it doesn't matter anyways how a G.A.T. has performed in the past, for example in the past 100 draws if what we're looking for is a new trend or signature or a new success for the past few draws only? Am I right?

If we're looking for G.A.T.'s that can produce 2 hits for example, does it make sense to instead pick G.A.T.'s that have been successful in predicting 1 hit recently (in the Build Up mode) so maybe in the next draw they'd produce 2 hits?


Can the total statistical data used be > (bigger than) the total actual draws scanned?

[lottoarchitect]

Hi iWin, my answers along your text.

Are the Build Up mode predictions meant to be used for the upcoming draw only?

Mostly yes. If however a buildup GAT keeps up being successful, it will be proposed again at the buildup and can be used in the following future draws too. This assumes you use buildup with Run Factor.

In that case should the user run a new scan for every new draw with a run factor of 0 ?

You can use either approach. If you reset RF to 0 for every run, you can't continue using any GAT picked for the previous draw as my previous answer implies above. The rule of thumb is, if you want to seek for new GATs, reset RF to 0. If you want to check and possibly continue using a GAT, use RF.

If the Build Up mode finds G.A.T.'s that have been successful recently in predicting a certain number of hits, for example the past 5 games, then does it make sense to scan only 10 total draws? Because it doesn't matter anyways how a G.A.T. has performed in the past, for example in the past 100 draws if what we're looking for is a new trend or signature or a new success for the past few draws only? Am I right?

Although in buildup we care mostly on what the GAT does at the last part, we also care on what the GAT does overall, although to a lesser extend. Put common sense to this question. Assume we see a GAT that does nothing at the whole test range and at the last 2-3 draws starts producing something good. We also see another GAT that produces the exact same behavior at the last 2-3 draws but its overall behavior is some good wins over the whole test range, which one would you choose? Selecting very few test draws forbids us from inspecting the overall performance of a GAT to further judge it. As a general guide, no matter what scan mode we use, the best setting for tested draws is in the range 50-200. You are free to use any setting you want of course, but you hinder your ability to judge the overall look and feel of a GAT with a very low setting, no matter the mode used.

If we're looking for G.A.T.'s that can produce 2 hits for example, does it make sense to instead pick G.A.T.'s that have been successful in predicting 1 hit recently (in the Build Up mode) so maybe in the next draw they'd produce 2 hits?

That is hard to answer really. Just one hit is too low to judge the buildup performance. After all, what buildup tries to do is to find GATs that show some steady/increasing hits production, which translates as the dynamics found by the signature underneath have managed to produce at least partially an estimation of the drawn numbers relation. Under that consideration, the longest hit sequence is preferable. On the other hand, consecutive lottery draws experience some common dynamics as found by GAT and suddenly they completely change their behavior to follow another common dynamics sequence. Under than consideration, a long good hit sequence may collapse at any moment. So based on tha later, if we see a GAT producing a long sequence, it may be better to pick a lesser good hit sequence GAT because we have evidence by the longer sequence GAT that dynamics do keep up so the lesser GAT can possibly keep up too but the longer sequence GAT may collapse at any moment. No matter what however, 1-2 hit sequence is small to judge this.

[iWin]

Thank you!